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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+3.58vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+1.18vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+2.14vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.48+4.31vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.34+3.65vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.60+1.81vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.89-2.78vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.41+2.79vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.99-2.46vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.00-0.24vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.10+1.74vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.30-3.22vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.26-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.18-3.86vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.84-2.69vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.18College of Charleston2.350.3%1st Place
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5.14North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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8.31Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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8.65The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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7.81Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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4.22University of South Florida1.890.2%1st Place
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10.79Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Miami0.990.1%1st Place
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9.76University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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12.74University of Florida-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.78Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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8.79Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.31Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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14.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 13.0% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 26.5% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Brady Parks | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 17.0% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 5.4% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 23.0% | 21.4% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 14.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 18.5% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.