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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+3.60vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+1.14vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.48+5.11vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.60+3.91vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.46+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.89-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina0.00+2.72vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.99-1.59vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.30-0.32vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.10+2.88vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.26-2.13vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.41-1.06vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.18-2.78vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.84-1.88vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.75vs Predicted
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17The Citadel0.34-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.14College of Charleston2.350.3%1st Place
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8.11Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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7.91Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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5.23North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.21University of South Florida1.890.2%1st Place
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9.72University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Miami0.990.1%1st Place
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8.68Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Florida-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.87Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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10.94Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.12Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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14.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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8.71The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 14.1% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 27.4% | 20.7% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Brady Parks | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 15.2% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Ayden Feria | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 24.2% | 20.8% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 5.5% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 13.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 50.9% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.