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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.06vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.26+6.75vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.24+2.85vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.48+4.23vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.46+0.24vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65-1.22vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.60+0.80vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina0.00+1.60vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.34-0.46vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.01-0.24vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.18-0.82vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.89-7.85vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.84-0.92vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.41-3.14vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.80vs Predicted
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16University of Florida-1.10-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06College of Charleston2.350.3%1st Place
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8.75Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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8.23Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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5.24North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.78Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.8Florida State University0.600.1%1st Place
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9.6University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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8.54The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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9.76Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.15University of South Florida1.890.2%1st Place
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12.08Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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10.86Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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14.2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Florida-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 26.8% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Ward | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 10.9% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| KA Hamner | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 3.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 17.5% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 12.9% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 51.7% |
| Ayden Feria | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 22.7% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.