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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.89+3.09vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+3.21vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+0.14vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65+0.79vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.24+0.91vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.00+3.76vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.34+1.65vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.60-0.38vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.26-0.18vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.48-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.10+1.72vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.01-2.33vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.18-2.81vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.41-3.16vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.76vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.84-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of South Florida1.890.2%1st Place
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5.21North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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3.14College of Charleston2.350.3%1st Place
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4.79Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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9.76University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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8.65The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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7.62Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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8.82Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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8.18Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Florida-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.67Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.84Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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14.24University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.17Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 15.8% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 26.6% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Brady Parks | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Carter Morin | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 23.0% | 19.8% |
| KA Hamner | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 50.8% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.