← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.46+4.16vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.65+2.70vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.89+1.17vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.35-0.83vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami1.24+0.86vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel0.34+2.68vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.01+2.76vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina0.00+1.57vs Predicted
-
9Embry-Riddle University-0.41+1.87vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College0.48-1.77vs Predicted
-
11Florida State University0.60-3.29vs Predicted
-
12Duke University-0.84+0.12vs Predicted
-
13University of Central Florida-0.18-2.79vs Predicted
-
14Clemson University0.26-5.29vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.76vs Predicted
-
16University of Florida-1.10-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.16North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
-
4.7Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
-
4.17University of South Florida1.890.2%1st Place
-
3.17College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
-
5.86University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
-
8.68The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
-
9.76Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
-
9.57University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
-
10.87Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
-
8.23Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
-
7.71Florida State University0.600.1%1st Place
-
12.12Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
-
10.21University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
-
8.71Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
-
14.24University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
-
12.86University of Florida-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 16.5% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 25.0% | 21.7% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| KA Hamner | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Noah Jost | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 5.8% |
| Carter Morin | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Brady Parks | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 13.5% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 18.2% | 50.3% |
| Ayden Feria | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 22.5% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.