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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.57+8.52vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.73+8.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.71+3.33vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.43+3.23vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.23vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.68+0.86vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.72+3.38vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.42-4.13vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.98-3.14vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.90vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.84-1.29vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.47-0.73vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.72-1.31vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.44-6.31vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.20-2.06vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.34-2.74vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52Old Dominion University1.574.2%1st Place
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10.83Christopher Newport University0.734.1%1st Place
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5.01U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.2%1st Place
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7.33University of Pennsylvania1.718.0%1st Place
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8.23Webb Institute1.436.2%1st Place
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7.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.8%1st Place
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7.86Cornell University1.685.7%1st Place
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11.38SUNY Maritime College0.722.9%1st Place
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4.87Georgetown University2.4214.2%1st Place
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6.86Fordham University1.988.6%1st Place
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9.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.8%1st Place
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10.71Princeton University0.843.2%1st Place
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12.27Drexel University0.472.6%1st Place
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12.69Hampton University0.721.5%1st Place
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8.69George Washington University1.445.8%1st Place
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13.94Washington College0.201.4%1st Place
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14.26University of Virginia-0.341.1%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% |
| Enzo Menditto | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Asher Green | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Iain Shand | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 25.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 28.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.