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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.05vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+2.61vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.26+5.76vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.01+5.75vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.46+0.13vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.60+1.77vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.89-2.82vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.34+0.43vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina0.00+0.58vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.10+2.79vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.41-0.21vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.18-1.85vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.93-6.41vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+0.07vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.84-2.79vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.48-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05College of Charleston2.350.3%1st Place
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4.61Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.76Clemson University0.260.0%1st Place
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9.75Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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5.13North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.77Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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4.18University of South Florida1.890.2%1st Place
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8.43The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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9.58University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Florida-1.100.0%1st Place
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10.79Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Miami0.930.1%1st Place
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14.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.21Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.13Eckerd College0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 27.5% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 14.5% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| KA Hamner | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 17.0% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Noah Jost | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Ayden Feria | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 24.2% | 19.8% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 5.8% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Dominic Canonico | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 47.4% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 14.9% |
| Carter Morin | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.