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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+6.30vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.71+5.18vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.73+7.81vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.42+0.95vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.84+5.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.57-1.16vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.72+5.73vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+1.25vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.47+3.30vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.43-1.68vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.72+0.42vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-1.80vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.44-4.29vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.98-7.15vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.68-7.40vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.57-6.46vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.34-2.75vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.20-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Pennsylvania1.718.3%1st Place
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10.81Christopher Newport University0.733.0%1st Place
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4.95Georgetown University2.4214.5%1st Place
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10.82Princeton University0.842.8%1st Place
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4.84U. S. Naval Academy2.5715.8%1st Place
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12.73Hampton University0.721.6%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.5%1st Place
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12.3Drexel University0.471.9%1st Place
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8.32Webb Institute1.436.2%1st Place
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11.42SUNY Maritime College0.722.1%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.9%1st Place
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8.71George Washington University1.445.0%1st Place
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6.85Fordham University1.988.5%1st Place
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7.6Cornell University1.688.0%1st Place
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9.54Old Dominion University1.573.6%1st Place
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14.25University of Virginia-0.341.3%1st Place
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13.94Washington College0.201.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Honig | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Iain Shand | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 27.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.