Race 9A

cornell-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Kana 25.2% 23.3% 17.4% 12.1% 8.8% 5.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 12.3% 12.8% 13.8% 13.0% 12.0% 11.8% 8.7% 7.4% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 11.9% 10.8% 13.1% 11.7% 10.5% 12.6% 11.8% 8.7% 3.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Andrew Sayre 3.8% 3.6% 6.4% 7.5% 9.3% 8.1% 9.5% 11.3% 14.0% 13.2% 9.2% 4.1%
Samantha Gebb 3.7% 5.5% 6.0% 6.2% 9.3% 8.6% 8.4% 11.6% 13.2% 12.5% 10.8% 4.2%
Conor Cashel 10.2% 10.3% 9.8% 10.6% 10.9% 12.5% 11.4% 10.2% 7.1% 4.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 9.9% 9.8% 10.5% 12.0% 10.5% 9.0% 11.8% 9.9% 7.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.8%
Gerard Tonachel 13.1% 13.2% 11.1% 12.4% 11.9% 10.4% 9.8% 6.6% 6.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.5%
Jarrett Scherrer 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 3.9% 6.4% 10.4% 16.5% 51.8%
Andrew Green 1.7% 2.3% 2.9% 3.2% 2.5% 4.2% 5.8% 6.2% 8.6% 14.7% 25.2% 22.7%
Zachary Schippe 4.1% 3.7% 5.2% 6.6% 6.5% 7.9% 8.6% 11.9% 13.1% 14.5% 12.2% 5.7%
Andrew Murphy 3.1% 4.1% 2.6% 3.7% 5.7% 6.9% 7.0% 10.5% 13.5% 15.9% 17.5% 9.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.