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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+0.95vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+4.26vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64+0.45vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-2.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.20-0.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.57-2.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Stanford University2.790.5%1st Place
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6.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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4.0California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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5.7University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 48.4% | 26.7% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 20.3% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Jasper Reid | 9.8% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 13.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.2% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 25.7% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 14.3% |
| George Soliman | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.