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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+0.96vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.64+3.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.79vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-0.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.20+0.42vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-0.92vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.57-2.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Stanford University2.790.5%1st Place
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5.79University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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3.91California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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4.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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6.42University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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6.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 47.3% | 27.1% | 14.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.4% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Clay Myers | 12.7% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 10.3% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 24.5% |
| Max Case | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 17.3% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 14.6% |
| George Soliman | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.