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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+0.92vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.64+3.81vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+1.80vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.57-0.29vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.06-3.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.20-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Stanford University2.790.5%1st Place
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5.81University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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3.95California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Davis0.570.0%1st Place
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6.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 49.3% | 26.1% | 13.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.6% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.7% |
| Jasper Reid | 8.0% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| George Soliman | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 16.2% |
| Clay Myers | 13.3% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 14.1% |
| Max Case | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 17.9% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.