← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.79+0.95vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.20+4.65vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+3.00vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.62vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California0.64+0.45vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-2.00vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-0.90vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-3.48vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis0.57-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.95Stanford University2.790.5%1st Place
-
6.65University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
-
6.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
-
4.62University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
-
5.45University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
-
4.0California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
-
6.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
-
4.52University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
-
5.72University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 47.9% | 26.2% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 27.7% |
| George Soliman | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 18.7% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.0% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 12.1% |
| Clay Myers | 12.0% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Max Case | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 17.4% |
| Jasper Reid | 9.4% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.