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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+0.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+1.56vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-0.11vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.64-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.57-1.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.20-1.56vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Stanford University2.790.5%1st Place
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4.95University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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3.89California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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5.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 48.5% | 26.4% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.5% |
| Jasper Reid | 8.5% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Clay Myers | 13.2% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Max Case | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.5% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 13.5% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 27.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.