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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+0.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.70vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+3.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.68vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64+0.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.20+0.43vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-3.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-2.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.57-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Stanford University2.790.5%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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6.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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3.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Davis0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 48.6% | 25.4% | 15.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 6.9% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Max Case | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 19.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 11.9% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 23.1% |
| Clay Myers | 12.3% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| George Soliman | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 18.1% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.