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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+0.96vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.64+3.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+0.39vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-1.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-0.11vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-1.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.20-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.57-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Stanford University2.790.5%1st Place
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5.83University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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3.93California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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5.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 48.6% | 26.0% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 15.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.0% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Jasper Reid | 9.6% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Clay Myers | 13.1% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| George Soliman | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 15.3% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 15.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 27.9% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.