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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+0.94vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64+1.52vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.77vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-2.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.20-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.57-2.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Stanford University2.790.5%1st Place
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4.95University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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5.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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3.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 48.9% | 26.5% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.8% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Jasper Reid | 8.2% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 17.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.2% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 26.6% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.7% |
| George Soliman | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.