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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+3.88vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+6.99vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+4.82vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+4.53vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.68+2.69vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.22vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.84+2.48vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.43-0.88vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.20+4.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-0.86vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.71-4.79vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.98-6.32vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.29-1.35vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.34-0.72vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.72-3.31vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.47-4.90vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.73-7.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Georgetown University2.4216.4%1st Place
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8.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.0%1st Place
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7.82Old Dominion University1.596.9%1st Place
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8.53George Washington University1.445.5%1st Place
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7.69Cornell University1.687.0%1st Place
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7.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.8%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Naval Academy2.048.8%1st Place
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10.48Princeton University0.843.5%1st Place
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8.12Webb Institute1.436.2%1st Place
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14.04Washington College0.200.9%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.5%1st Place
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7.21University of Pennsylvania1.718.1%1st Place
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6.68Fordham University1.989.6%1st Place
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12.65SUNY Maritime College0.291.8%1st Place
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14.28University of Virginia-0.341.1%1st Place
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12.69Hampton University0.721.9%1st Place
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12.1Drexel University0.471.8%1st Place
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10.64Christopher Newport University0.733.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Asher Green | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kennedy Jones | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 24.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Honig | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marcus Adam | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 14.0% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 27.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% |
| Iain Shand | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.