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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+4.86vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.07+5.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+2.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.46+1.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+1.32vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-2.16vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.49+1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-1.14vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.12-5.84vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.02-0.41vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.44-2.55vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.92-2.09vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.74-2.75vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.92Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.32Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.84Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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4.16Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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10.59Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.45Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.91Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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11.25Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.8% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 15.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 16.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 17.6% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.