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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.84+6.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+1.99vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.07+4.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.95vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.08vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47-0.10vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.74+4.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.02+2.57vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-4.28vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-2.60vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.49-1.92vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.92-0.91vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.46-6.83vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-1.21vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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3.99Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.9Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.22Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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4.72Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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11.09Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.17Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.15Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.7% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 18.3% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 11.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 15.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 42.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.