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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.46+3.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+0.99vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+0.84vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+5.51vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+1.96vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.07+0.18vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-2.07vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+0.18vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-2.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.96vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.49-2.70vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.08-0.05vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-3.24vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.74-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.84Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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3.99Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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4.84Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.51Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.18Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.3Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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11.2Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.7% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 11.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 46.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 12.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.