Race 5A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Cordelia Burn 11.1% 10.7% 10.0% 9.4% 8.4% 9.6% 8.0% 9.0% 7.2% 5.5% 4.3% 3.4% 1.6% 1.1% 0.7%
Mia Nicolosi 19.4% 18.2% 13.3% 14.6% 8.7% 7.6% 6.4% 4.8% 2.7% 1.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine McGagh 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 4.3% 5.4% 6.4% 6.3% 10.0% 13.0% 21.0% 16.1%
Caroline Sibilly 13.4% 15.6% 12.8% 10.6% 9.0% 9.9% 8.1% 6.7% 5.7% 3.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Brielle Willoughby 10.4% 9.1% 8.6% 8.2% 9.7% 9.5% 10.3% 8.2% 8.0% 5.7% 5.5% 3.1% 2.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Tiare Sierra 2.8% 4.2% 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 5.7% 5.6% 6.7% 8.0% 9.1% 9.1% 12.3% 12.6% 8.3% 3.4%
Brooke Schmelz 7.5% 6.3% 7.7% 7.7% 8.7% 7.2% 9.8% 10.1% 6.8% 8.3% 6.0% 5.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.9%
Kytalin Hendrickson 5.1% 4.8% 6.1% 7.3% 7.2% 6.0% 6.4% 9.4% 8.5% 9.4% 9.7% 7.8% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6%
Taylor Eastman 6.2% 6.1% 7.1% 8.1% 9.1% 8.3% 9.2% 7.5% 10.0% 9.1% 7.0% 5.3% 4.5% 2.0% 0.5%
Emily Bornarth 8.4% 9.2% 11.2% 9.4% 9.0% 9.8% 9.2% 8.4% 7.4% 5.2% 5.5% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.1% 1.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 4.1% 4.3% 4.5% 5.3% 7.4% 9.5% 10.6% 12.1% 16.8% 14.2%
Kyra Phelan 2.9% 3.3% 2.9% 4.2% 6.1% 5.6% 6.9% 6.0% 7.8% 8.9% 11.1% 11.3% 10.5% 9.0% 3.5%
Samantha Jensen 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 3.2% 4.8% 3.2% 3.6% 4.5% 5.1% 7.2% 8.9% 11.5% 13.0% 16.0% 12.7%
Eva Ermlich 6.1% 6.4% 7.7% 7.1% 8.2% 8.5% 7.2% 7.8% 8.7% 9.0% 8.6% 7.0% 4.8% 1.9% 1.0%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 1.5% 2.1% 3.4% 3.2% 4.5% 6.6% 10.7% 15.0% 45.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.