Race 6A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mia Nicolosi 20.3% 18.5% 13.4% 11.9% 9.6% 8.1% 6.1% 3.5% 3.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Cordelia Burn 9.8% 11.6% 10.0% 10.9% 9.9% 9.6% 8.0% 7.9% 5.0% 7.1% 4.5% 2.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.4%
Caroline Sibilly 14.7% 12.2% 13.0% 11.0% 12.0% 8.9% 7.8% 7.1% 4.7% 4.1% 1.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine McGagh 1.5% 1.7% 2.4% 2.0% 2.3% 3.3% 4.0% 4.2% 5.4% 5.4% 8.9% 8.3% 14.8% 17.7% 18.1%
Kytalin Hendrickson 5.4% 6.7% 5.3% 5.7% 6.7% 6.0% 7.4% 7.8% 9.3% 8.4% 11.1% 7.7% 5.6% 4.7% 2.2%
Eva Ermlich 5.9% 6.3% 6.2% 9.2% 5.7% 8.5% 8.5% 9.1% 8.3% 9.5% 7.3% 6.9% 5.0% 2.8% 0.8%
Emily Bornarth 10.5% 8.9% 11.3% 9.6% 9.5% 9.6% 8.9% 8.1% 6.3% 5.3% 5.2% 3.8% 2.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Samantha Jensen 2.4% 2.1% 2.9% 2.7% 2.9% 3.6% 5.7% 4.2% 5.9% 7.7% 7.7% 10.6% 14.2% 16.1% 11.3%
Kyra Phelan 3.2% 4.1% 4.1% 3.8% 5.0% 7.4% 6.4% 6.3% 9.2% 8.4% 10.6% 12.1% 7.7% 7.8% 3.9%
Brooke Schmelz 6.1% 5.9% 7.5% 8.0% 10.2% 7.2% 9.3% 9.8% 9.1% 6.3% 7.3% 7.0% 3.1% 2.3% 0.9%
Tiare Sierra 2.9% 3.6% 4.6% 4.5% 5.8% 5.4% 4.7% 7.7% 8.5% 7.3% 9.1% 10.0% 12.8% 8.7% 4.4%
Taylor Eastman 5.9% 5.2% 7.0% 7.6% 8.2% 7.2% 9.8% 7.1% 9.2% 9.1% 7.3% 7.4% 6.4% 2.2% 0.4%
Brielle Willoughby 8.7% 10.2% 8.4% 9.7% 7.1% 9.5% 8.3% 11.0% 7.9% 6.9% 5.6% 2.8% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 1.4% 4.1% 5.0% 7.2% 9.7% 18.1% 43.5%
Izzy Wu-Karr 1.8% 2.2% 3.3% 2.2% 3.8% 4.1% 2.9% 3.8% 6.3% 7.7% 7.4% 11.1% 12.5% 17.3% 13.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.