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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+4.83vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.07+4.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+2.81vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+0.83vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12-0.87vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+1.26vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.46-1.18vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.06vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.74+2.25vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44-0.79vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-3.15vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.02-1.28vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.25-3.05vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-3.27vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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4.83Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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4.13Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.26Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.82Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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11.25Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.72Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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10.73Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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12.71University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.7% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.9% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 15.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 12.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 7.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 12.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.