Race 10A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mia Nicolosi 19.9% 19.0% 14.2% 11.6% 8.4% 7.6% 7.3% 5.4% 2.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Sibilly 14.6% 15.5% 12.6% 13.1% 9.3% 8.8% 5.9% 6.6% 5.4% 3.3% 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Brielle Willoughby 10.1% 8.7% 11.9% 9.5% 10.6% 8.2% 9.0% 7.5% 8.3% 6.6% 3.9% 3.3% 2.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Eva Ermlich 5.9% 6.8% 7.9% 7.8% 8.6% 6.9% 7.5% 8.5% 8.0% 8.7% 8.8% 5.9% 4.8% 3.4% 0.5%
Brooke Schmelz 6.9% 8.3% 7.0% 7.4% 7.4% 7.8% 7.0% 9.3% 11.0% 7.7% 6.3% 6.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5%
Taylor Eastman 5.5% 7.1% 6.9% 7.3% 7.5% 9.5% 9.2% 10.0% 7.6% 9.4% 7.2% 5.9% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5%
Cordelia Burn 11.3% 7.9% 9.6% 11.0% 10.4% 11.1% 9.1% 6.1% 7.3% 5.3% 4.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Samantha Jensen 2.6% 2.1% 2.8% 2.4% 3.9% 3.3% 4.6% 5.0% 6.7% 6.7% 9.2% 11.4% 14.4% 12.9% 12.0%
Tiare Sierra 2.8% 3.9% 4.1% 4.0% 5.2% 6.8% 6.6% 6.4% 9.0% 9.3% 10.2% 10.7% 8.9% 9.0% 3.1%
Kytalin Hendrickson 4.4% 4.5% 6.1% 7.3% 7.2% 6.5% 8.3% 9.4% 7.4% 10.6% 9.5% 6.7% 5.8% 4.9% 1.4%
Katherine McGagh 1.4% 2.2% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 3.9% 7.4% 6.6% 11.1% 14.1% 17.9% 17.5%
Christine Reimer 2.9% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 5.2% 5.1% 6.0% 3.4% 8.1% 8.3% 11.5% 11.0% 12.1% 12.0% 7.0%
Emily Bornarth 9.1% 9.2% 9.0% 9.4% 8.3% 9.1% 9.4% 10.3% 8.0% 7.0% 4.5% 3.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Izzy Wu-Karr 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 2.5% 4.0% 3.8% 4.0% 5.8% 4.8% 5.9% 9.2% 10.6% 13.5% 18.0% 11.6%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 2.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 4.9% 7.3% 9.4% 15.9% 45.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.