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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.44+7.79vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+6.94vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.71+4.33vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.42+0.79vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.23vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.68+1.40vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.59+0.65vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.48vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-2.24vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.72+2.82vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.20+2.75vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-1.79vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.84-2.23vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.73-3.31vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.29-1.97vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.43-7.86vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.47-4.72vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.34-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79George Washington University1.444.5%1st Place
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8.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.6%1st Place
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7.33University of Pennsylvania1.718.5%1st Place
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4.79Georgetown University2.4216.0%1st Place
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7.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.3%1st Place
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7.4Cornell University1.687.7%1st Place
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7.65Old Dominion University1.597.0%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Naval Academy2.049.2%1st Place
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6.76Fordham University1.988.4%1st Place
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12.82Hampton University0.721.6%1st Place
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13.75Washington College0.201.2%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.8%1st Place
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10.77Princeton University0.843.4%1st Place
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10.69Christopher Newport University0.733.5%1st Place
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13.03SUNY Maritime College0.291.5%1st Place
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8.14Webb Institute1.436.9%1st Place
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12.28Drexel University0.472.2%1st Place
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13.9University of Virginia-0.341.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
Madison Bashaw | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
Benjamin Honig | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
Enzo Menditto | 16.0% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
J.J. Smith | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Diogo Silva | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Eva Blauvelt | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Jacob Zils | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Stefano Palamara | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% |
Kennedy Jones | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 24.0% |
Reed McAllister | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
Asher Green | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
Joshua Bendura | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
Marcus Adam | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% |
Payne Donaldson | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Iain Shand | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% |
Maxwell Penders | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.