Race 11A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mia Nicolosi 19.1% 18.0% 13.8% 11.2% 9.3% 8.9% 7.0% 5.4% 2.9% 1.1% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Caroline Sibilly 14.7% 13.3% 12.6% 11.3% 11.2% 8.4% 7.6% 6.7% 6.0% 3.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Kytalin Hendrickson 4.7% 5.5% 6.9% 5.6% 6.0% 8.2% 7.5% 8.7% 7.4% 9.8% 9.6% 7.9% 7.4% 3.6% 1.2%
Brooke Schmelz 6.3% 7.4% 5.8% 9.4% 8.5% 7.9% 9.2% 7.8% 7.6% 11.2% 5.5% 5.6% 4.7% 2.1% 1.0%
Cordelia Burn 9.8% 9.7% 8.2% 9.0% 9.1% 9.7% 10.2% 9.1% 7.9% 5.5% 4.6% 4.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Kyra Phelan 3.2% 3.8% 4.1% 4.9% 4.4% 5.4% 5.6% 7.8% 7.4% 9.9% 11.4% 10.9% 9.4% 8.7% 3.1%
Emily Bornarth 10.3% 7.7% 11.0% 7.7% 10.2% 11.4% 8.0% 8.3% 7.3% 6.4% 4.6% 3.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.3%
Eva Ermlich 6.4% 5.6% 7.3% 7.5% 7.6% 7.2% 7.3% 7.8% 9.5% 9.6% 9.2% 7.5% 3.4% 3.0% 1.1%
Brielle Willoughby 9.0% 9.5% 9.7% 10.8% 8.9% 9.8% 8.5% 9.8% 9.5% 5.8% 3.6% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Tiare Sierra 3.2% 3.2% 3.6% 3.7% 5.4% 5.0% 5.9% 7.0% 8.1% 9.7% 8.6% 12.7% 10.3% 9.1% 4.5%
Gray Hemans 8.0% 9.0% 8.5% 9.9% 9.2% 7.7% 8.5% 7.8% 7.7% 6.4% 7.7% 4.6% 2.8% 1.7% 0.5%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 5.3% 6.5% 9.8% 17.9% 47.1%
Katherine McGagh 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 1.7% 3.8% 2.0% 3.9% 3.5% 4.7% 5.5% 7.2% 9.0% 15.9% 19.5% 18.6%
Samantha Jensen 1.9% 2.0% 2.6% 3.6% 2.6% 4.4% 4.8% 4.9% 6.6% 6.1% 8.5% 12.0% 14.8% 14.9% 10.3%
Izzy Wu-Karr 1.3% 3.2% 3.3% 2.6% 2.8% 3.0% 4.2% 3.5% 5.4% 7.3% 9.7% 10.1% 14.2% 17.1% 12.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.