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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+4.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.82vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.95vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+2.38vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46+1.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.02+4.58vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12-2.89vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-0.64vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.74+2.32vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44-0.69vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-5.99vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.49-2.66vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.78vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-1.11vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.09Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.58Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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4.11Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.36Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.32Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.31Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.01Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.34Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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10.77Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 10.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.1% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 16.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 46.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.