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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.88vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+1.86vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+3.98vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.33+1.51vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.470.00vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.44+2.23vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-0.65vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.46-3.07vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-2.83vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.49-1.89vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.02-1.22vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.74-1.51vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-1.16vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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4.86Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.0Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.35Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.93Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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10.78Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.49Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.84University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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10.8Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.0% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 12.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 20.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 42.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.