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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+3.42vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.31vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.38vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+3.51vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+0.32vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13-0.20vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.55-2.50vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.08+1.19vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30-0.37vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72+0.25vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.06-4.74vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-3.95vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-2.85vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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6.12Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.31Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.8Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.5Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.25Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.05Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.12Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 17.0% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.7% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 8.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 20.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 18.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.