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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+5.17vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+5.41vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+5.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.43vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.91-1.57vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.060.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-3.53vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72+2.26vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.55-4.41vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.13-4.19vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-2.91vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.08-2.64vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-2.86vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.43Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.47Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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11.26Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.59Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.81Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.09Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.08Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.4% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.8% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| Sarah Young | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 17.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.