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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.32vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+3.26vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+3.07vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+5.29vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91-0.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+2.42vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+3.79vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+0.68vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.13-2.34vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.06-2.98vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-3.60vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-0.76vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.08-2.75vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.29-7.83vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.81-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.26Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.54Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.68Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.66Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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11.24Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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6.17Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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13.89Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 17.9% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 2.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.7% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 9.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 24.3% | 9.6% |
| Leah Rickard | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 5.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Viola Henry | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 12.8% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.