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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+6.23vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.08+6.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+5.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+4.30vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13+0.68vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06-0.11vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-1.82vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.55-3.67vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.91-5.57vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-2.33vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-5.69vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-1.89vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-3.18vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.81-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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4.27Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.68Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.18Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.33Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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4.43Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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8.67Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.31Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.11Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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13.85Connecticut College-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.2% | 18.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 4.3% |
| Laura Slovensky | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 12.1% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.3% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 22.7% | 10.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 21.4% | 7.5% |
| Viola Henry | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 11.9% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.