Race 5B

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ambrose Gosling 24.9% 25.0% 20.4% 14.4% 8.6% 4.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Chandler Salisbury 9.8% 10.9% 18.4% 16.0% 18.5% 12.4% 8.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Thomas Barrows 44.7% 29.6% 15.3% 6.9% 3.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Grabe 2.3% 3.9% 5.5% 9.0% 11.3% 15.7% 19.1% 21.5% 10.3% 1.4%
Madeleine Harvey 5.0% 7.1% 9.7% 11.4% 14.3% 17.7% 17.2% 12.2% 4.9% 0.5%
Robert Keller 3.2% 4.9% 5.3% 9.2% 10.6% 14.0% 16.5% 25.5% 9.8% 1.0%
Leah Hughes 5.3% 10.7% 14.4% 18.3% 15.7% 16.4% 12.1% 5.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Sean Andrew 3.8% 7.0% 9.7% 12.6% 15.1% 15.2% 15.5% 16.4% 4.4% 0.3%
Nate Olsen 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 6.4% 11.5% 53.2% 18.8%
Gabriel Elder 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 1.3% 1.9% 2.7% 15.1% 77.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.