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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+6.92vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+10.64vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+7.60vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.02+4.07vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.41vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55+0.25vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10+3.87vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93+4.98vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09-0.89vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.30-6.17vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.99-1.92vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.23vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.10-2.72vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.97-4.97vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.81-4.99vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.51-4.73vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.96-7.85vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.55-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Georgetown University2.207.3%1st Place
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12.64Northeastern University1.221.5%1st Place
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10.6University of South Florida1.603.5%1st Place
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8.07Tulane University2.027.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Pennsylvania1.775.8%1st Place
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6.25Yale University2.5510.2%1st Place
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10.87Harvard University2.103.5%1st Place
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12.98George Washington University0.931.8%1st Place
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8.11Boston College2.095.9%1st Place
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3.83Stanford University3.3023.1%1st Place
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9.08Brown University1.995.4%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.5%1st Place
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10.28Dartmouth College2.103.2%1st Place
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9.03Roger Williams University1.974.8%1st Place
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10.01College of Charleston1.813.6%1st Place
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11.27Bowdoin College1.512.9%1st Place
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9.15Cornell University1.963.9%1st Place
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13.74Tufts University0.551.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 15.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 20.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 23.1% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Young | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.