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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+4.07vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.44+6.78vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.71+4.34vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.68+3.66vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.18vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+4.27vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.47+5.24vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.83vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-2.03vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.57-5.13vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.59-3.30vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.72+0.79vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.73-2.18vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.43-5.65vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.20-0.88vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.84-5.45vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.29-3.98vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.34-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Georgetown University2.4214.9%1st Place
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8.78George Washington University1.445.5%1st Place
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7.34University of Pennsylvania1.717.8%1st Place
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7.66Cornell University1.687.1%1st Place
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9.18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.1%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.5%1st Place
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12.24Drexel University0.471.9%1st Place
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7.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.0%1st Place
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6.97Fordham University1.988.2%1st Place
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4.87U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.9%1st Place
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7.7Old Dominion University1.596.3%1st Place
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12.79Hampton University0.721.4%1st Place
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10.82Christopher Newport University0.733.0%1st Place
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8.35Webb Institute1.436.3%1st Place
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14.12Washington College0.201.3%1st Place
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10.55Princeton University0.842.7%1st Place
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13.02SUNY Maritime College0.291.9%1st Place
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14.11University of Virginia-0.341.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 14.9% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Iain Shand | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.9% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 11.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 24.6% |
| Asher Green | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Marcus Adam | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 14.0% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.