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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+5.71vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+4.15vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+5.71vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.76+6.08vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+2.13vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30-1.79vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06-2.04vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.55-4.48vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.30-1.52vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-0.58vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.08-2.63vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.36-1.93vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.92-10.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.15Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.71Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.38Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.52Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.42Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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12.07Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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4.41Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.7% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 18.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Young | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 20.5% |
| Leah Rickard | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 31.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.0% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.