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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.05vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+1.27vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+4.58vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.13+1.72vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+0.05vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-2.73vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.55-2.64vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-0.05vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.06-3.08vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.76-0.14vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-0.77vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-3.56vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.14-1.61vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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4.27Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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8.58Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.05Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.27Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.36Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.23Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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11.85Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.1% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 14.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 14.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 19.8% | 32.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 19.8% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.