← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.92+3.29vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.55+3.20vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.15vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island0.14+8.35vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.52+3.63vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.91-1.67vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.13-0.47vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.06-1.13vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.30+0.16vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-0.90vs Predicted
-
11Boston University0.72-0.03vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.76-0.88vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.29-6.61vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.30-7.95vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.36-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.29Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
-
5.2Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
12.35University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
8.63Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
4.33Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
-
6.53Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
6.87Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
9.16Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
-
9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
-
10.97Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
11.12University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
6.39Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
6.05Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
11.85Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 17.0% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 11.2% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 34.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.5% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 13.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 14.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.