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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+3.34vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.20vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+5.93vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.76+6.86vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+3.60vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+0.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.18vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.13-1.39vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72+1.92vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.55-4.56vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-4.11vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-2.51vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.14-0.48vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.30-7.93vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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4.2Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.6Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.15Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.61Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.92Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.44Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.79Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 17.1% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.9% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 14.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 11.9% |
| Sarah Young | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 37.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 20.8% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.