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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+2.36vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+5.69vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.41vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.47vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+0.19vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13-0.22vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43-2.20vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.30+0.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-1.44vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-4.01vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76-0.64vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.08-2.61vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.72-2.76vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.36Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.41Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.78Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.8Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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11.24Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.07Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.0% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.8% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 4.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 20.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 19.2% | 19.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.