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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.76+9.96vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.29vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.72+8.16vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+1.79vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91-0.48vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.43vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52+1.75vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30-1.74vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.13-2.32vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.08+0.27vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-3.89vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.29-5.51vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-4.32vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.30-4.49vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.96University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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4.29Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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11.16Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.52Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.75Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.68Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.49Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.08Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Commerford | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.4% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 20.8% |
| bella casaretto | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 18.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.8% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 9.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.