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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+5.89vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.30vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+1.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.47vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13+0.75vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-0.84vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+0.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.91-4.67vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52-1.22vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.08-0.87vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.00-1.39vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-1.70vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-2.97vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.3Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.74Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.16Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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4.33Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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8.78Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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10.61Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.3Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.03Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.7% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 20.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 15.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.