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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+4.68vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.76+8.90vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+1.32vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+2.70vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.43vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+0.15vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06-0.02vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-3.60vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-2.87vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52-1.16vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.08-0.86vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-0.57vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.36-0.72vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.00-3.71vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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4.32Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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6.7Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.4Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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11.43Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.28Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 16.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 17.0% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.3% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 20.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 34.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.