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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.71+6.26vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.43+6.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+2.04vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.42+0.91vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+5.33vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.98+0.84vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.03vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.59-0.16vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.44-0.41vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-2.81vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.20+2.97vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.72+0.98vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.47-0.52vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.68-6.28vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.84-4.26vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.73-5.25vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.34-2.71vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.29-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26University of Pennsylvania1.717.8%1st Place
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8.27Webb Institute1.435.9%1st Place
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5.04U. S. Naval Academy2.5713.3%1st Place
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4.91Georgetown University2.4216.4%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.5%1st Place
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6.84Fordham University1.988.9%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.2%1st Place
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7.84Old Dominion University1.595.8%1st Place
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8.59George Washington University1.445.8%1st Place
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7.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.3%1st Place
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13.97Washington College0.201.4%1st Place
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12.98Hampton University0.721.3%1st Place
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12.48Drexel University0.471.9%1st Place
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7.72Cornell University1.686.7%1st Place
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10.74Princeton University0.842.9%1st Place
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10.75Christopher Newport University0.732.9%1st Place
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14.29University of Virginia-0.341.3%1st Place
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12.78SUNY Maritime College0.291.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Honig | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Henry Allgeier | 13.3% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 16.4% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 16.7% | 24.7% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% |
| Iain Shand | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Asher Green | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 26.8% |
| Marcus Adam | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.