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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+6.04vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.68+5.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+2.15vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+4.71vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.43+3.26vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72+6.93vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.59+0.83vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.42-2.88vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.71-1.51vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-2.63vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-3.83vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.20+1.88vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.73-2.10vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.47-1.53vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-4.61vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.72-4.28vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.34-2.93vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.27-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Fordham University1.988.3%1st Place
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7.79Cornell University1.686.5%1st Place
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5.15U. S. Naval Academy2.5713.6%1st Place
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8.71George Washington University1.445.0%1st Place
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8.26Webb Institute1.436.0%1st Place
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12.93Hampton University0.721.4%1st Place
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7.83Old Dominion University1.597.0%1st Place
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5.12Georgetown University2.4214.6%1st Place
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7.49University of Pennsylvania1.716.7%1st Place
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7.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.3%1st Place
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7.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.8%1st Place
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13.88Washington College0.201.2%1st Place
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10.9Christopher Newport University0.733.2%1st Place
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12.47Drexel University0.471.6%1st Place
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10.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.8%1st Place
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11.72SUNY Maritime College0.722.5%1st Place
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14.07University of Virginia-0.341.5%1st Place
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12.71Princeton University0.272.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 11.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Enzo Menditto | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 24.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Iain Shand | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 24.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.