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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+4.15vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+4.17vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85+9.03vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77+4.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+5.90vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.54+3.36vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.35-0.55vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.93-0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.05-1.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.55-4.04vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.34-4.47vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-4.87vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.08vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-5.25vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.08-4.04vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.37+0.83vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-0.67-1.21vs Predicted
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18Drexel University0.32-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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12.03Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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8.44Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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9.36Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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6.45Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.91Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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11.92SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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10.96Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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16.83Rochester Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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15.79Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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13.3Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 14.6% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 1.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Honig | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 17.5% | 62.8% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 34.3% | 28.5% |
| Iain Shand | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.