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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.35+5.51vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.34+4.46vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.78vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.93+3.71vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.05+2.27vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+2.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+3.87vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.34+5.16vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.54+0.18vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.85+1.82vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-4.13vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.79-6.80vs Predicted
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13Hampton University1.77-4.80vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.32-0.94vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-0.67+0.74vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-9.99vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.76-4.89vs Predicted
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18Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.46Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.71Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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13.16Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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9.18Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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11.82Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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6.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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5.2Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.2Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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13.06Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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15.74Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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6.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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12.11SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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16.2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 6.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 15.0% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Iain Shand | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 7.1% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 28.5% | 32.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| John Wynne | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 10.3% | 21.4% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.