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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+5.35vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+4.54vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79+2.19vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.05+3.52vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.35+1.49vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.10+5.14vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.34-0.50vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.54+1.39vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.93-1.04vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.77-1.19vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.85+0.97vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-0.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.55-7.26vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-5.09vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.32-1.44vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.08-4.77vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01-0.48vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-0.67-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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6.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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5.19Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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6.49Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.14SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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6.5Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.39Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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7.96Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.81Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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11.97Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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13.56Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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11.23Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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16.52Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.0%1st Place
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15.75Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 12.4% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Iain Shand | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 7.1% |
| Asher Green | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| John Wynne | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 21.4% | 53.6% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 30.9% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.