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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+4.21vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.54+7.68vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+3.35vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.25vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.05+2.52vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.34+0.53vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.35-0.49vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.55-2.24vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+0.11vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.77-1.18vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.10+0.17vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.93-3.68vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.08-2.02vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.85-2.29vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-3.86vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01+0.44vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.32-3.29vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-0.67-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.68Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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6.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.51Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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9.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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8.82Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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11.17SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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8.32Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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10.98Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.71Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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16.44Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.0%1st Place
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13.71Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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15.79Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| John Wynne | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 22.2% | 51.0% |
| Iain Shand | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 9.4% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 31.8% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.