← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.93+7.21vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.35+4.65vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+6.40vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+2.06vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.54+4.38vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.34+0.53vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.68vs Predicted
-
8Hampton University1.77+0.51vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+2.17vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.54-3.94vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College1.10+0.18vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.05-4.13vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University2.79-8.02vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University0.32-0.64vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.85-3.11vs Predicted
-
16Princeton University1.08-4.86vs Predicted
-
17Syracuse University-0.67-1.01vs Predicted
-
18Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.21Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.65Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
-
9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
-
6.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
9.38Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
-
6.53Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
-
6.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
8.51Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
-
11.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
6.06U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
11.18SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
-
7.87University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
-
4.98Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
13.36Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
-
11.89Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
-
11.14Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
15.99Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
-
16.32Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Henry Allgeier | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Benjamin Honig | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 7.4% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Asher Green | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 30.0% | 37.4% |
| John Wynne | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 26.4% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.