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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+5.52vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.54+7.67vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.35+3.74vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.34+2.42vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.79+0.04vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.77+2.59vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.05-0.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+2.12vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-0.61vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.85+1.00vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.10-0.65vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.93-5.12vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.54-8.32vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.08-3.97vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.32-2.37vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-0.67-1.01vs Predicted
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18Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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9.67Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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6.74Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.42Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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8.59Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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12.0Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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11.35SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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7.88Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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11.03Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.63Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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15.99Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
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16.33Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 16.2% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Henry Allgeier | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Iain Shand | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 8.1% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 29.2% | 37.3% |
| John Wynne | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 25.4% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.